[Green-Activist] status of upper house, Victoria Tuesday 5th Dec

[C.C.]

Results from the Victorian election upper house on www.vec.vic.gov.au as of today at 11AM indicate the following results from me at bottom.  You have all not heard from me for a long time due to a variety of constant disasters, most recently 4hard drive crashes.  However, I decided to look at the results today.
  The Greens believe that we need to win 3 seats to take the balance of power.  I do not believe this is true because the conservatives have polled unfortunately well.
The quota on the website for the 8 regions with 5 positions available each (=40) is 1/6 of total votes plus 1.  Based on the indicated quotas for today, given that there is still a fair bit of postal vote counting and checking to do, and looking at the group voting tickets (i.e. how all the parties distribute preferences) www.vec.vic.gov.au/grvotingtickets.html I think it will be a conservative upper house in Victoria- unless the ALP relies on the Greens.
  In other words, this is very close to a hung parliament in the Upper House.  So unless the ALP deals with the Greens on almost every bill, it will not get its legislation through if the conservatives vote against it.  Interesting outcome.
  Results as I see them are listed below.  It should be noted the Greens did extremely well in the Upper as well as the lower house, and without the Upper House preferencing by the conservatives towards even ALP over us, we would probably have Louis in my area and Marcus in western Vic in the upper house as well. (Bastards!)  My upper house ballot paper read like a conservatives dream, choose from either Fred Nile, Family First, the Nats or the DLP!!  No second choice at all!  Without this stacking by the conservatives in a number of areas, they would not be doing nearly as well, and would not have given Victoria what I think will be a hung parliament.  Either the ALP deals with us, or we get to have another election next year at the same time as the federal one!!
  As it stands it seems that we have put two candidates in, Greg and Sue (congrats guys) in Northern and Southern metropolitan seats in Melbourne respectively.
  I think the results are:-
Liberals 16
Nationals 3
Greens 2
ALP 19
oh my goodness!

This is based on results in the seats as follows:
Eastern Metropolitan                    Libs 3, ALP 2
Southeastern Metropolitan            Libs 2, ALP 3
Southern Metropolitan   Greens 1 Libs 3 ALP 1
Northern Metropolitan   Greens 1 Libs 1 ALP 3
Western Metropolitan                   Libs 1 ALP 4 (although it could be 2, 3)
Eastern Victoria                            Libs 2 ALP 2 Nats 1 (although it could be Greens 1)
Northern Victoria                          Libs 2 ALP 2 Nats 1
Western Victoria                           Libs 2 ALP 2 Nats 1 (although it could be Greens 1)

Mind you there is still a bit of counting to do!
 
from CC
cc.ctree at yahoo.com


 
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